#!/usr/bin/python # vim: set fileencoding=utf-8 : import numpy as np import matplotlib.pyplot as plt import pandas as pd import datetime import re import requests as req import locale import os.path import shutil locale.setlocale(locale.LC_ALL, 'de_DE.UTF-8') site_folder = 'site/' data_folder = 'data/' einwohner_deutschland = 83190556 herd_immunity = 0.7 today = datetime.date.today() print_today = today.isoformat() filename_now = datetime.datetime.now().strftime("%Y%m%d%H%M%S") # DIN A4 Plots plt.rcParams["figure.figsize"] = [11.69, 8.27] # Download data_filename = '{}/{}_Impfquotenmonitoring.xlsx'.format(data_folder, filename_now) r = req.get('https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Daten/Impfquotenmonitoring.xlsx?__blob=publicationFile') with open(data_filename, 'wb') as outfile: outfile.write(r.content) rki_file = pd.read_excel(data_filename, sheet_name=None, engine='openpyxl') raw_data = rki_file['Impfungen_proTag'] impfungen = raw_data[:-1].dropna() dates = impfungen['Datum'] daily = impfungen['Gesamtzahl Impfungen'] cumulative = np.cumsum(impfungen['Gesamtzahl Impfungen']) total_vaccinations = int(np.sum(daily)) total_vaccinations_percentage = float(total_vaccinations) / einwohner_deutschland mean_vaccinations_daily = np.mean(daily) mean_vaccinations_daily_int = int(np.round(mean_vaccinations_daily)) to_be_vaccinated = einwohner_deutschland - total_vaccinations days_extrapolated = int(np.ceil(to_be_vaccinated / mean_vaccinations_daily)) extrapolated_dates = np.array([dates[0] + datetime.timedelta(days=i) for i in range(days_extrapolated)]) mean_vaccinations_daily_done = extrapolated_dates[-1] mean_vaccinations_daily_herd_immunity = extrapolated_dates[int(np.ceil(days_extrapolated * herd_immunity))] days_extrapolated_with_todays_rate = int(np.ceil(to_be_vaccinated / daily.iloc[-1])) last_date = dates.iloc[-1] last_date_day_rate = daily.iloc[-1] last_date_day_rate_done = dates[0] + datetime.timedelta(days=days_extrapolated_with_todays_rate) last_date_day_rate_herd_immunity = dates[0] + datetime.timedelta(days=int(np.ceil(days_extrapolated_with_todays_rate * herd_immunity))) extrapolated_vaccinations = mean_vaccinations_daily * range(1, days_extrapolated + 1) days_since_start = (dates.iloc[-1].date() - dates[0].date()).days print(days_since_start) mean_vaccinations_last_seven_days = np.mean(daily[-7:]) mean_vaccinations_last_seven_days_int = int(np.round(mean_vaccinations_last_seven_days)) days_extrapolated_last_seven_days = int(np.ceil(to_be_vaccinated / mean_vaccinations_last_seven_days)) extrapolated_vaccinations_last_seven_days = total_vaccinations + mean_vaccinations_last_seven_days * range(-days_since_start, days_extrapolated - days_since_start) mean_vaccinations_last_seven_days_done = dates.iloc[-1] + datetime.timedelta(days=days_extrapolated_last_seven_days) mean_vaccinations_last_seven_days_herd_immunity = dates.iloc[-1] + datetime.timedelta(days=int(np.ceil(days_extrapolated_last_seven_days * herd_immunity))) mean_vaccinations_daily_up_to_date = np.round(cumulative / range(1, len(cumulative) + 1)) print(extrapolated_vaccinations[:20]) print(extrapolated_vaccinations_last_seven_days[:20]) print(cumulative) # Stand aus Daten auslesen #stand = dates.iloc[-1] #print_stand = stand.isoformat() # Stand aus offiziellen Angaben auslesen stand = rki_file['Erläuterung'].iloc[1][0] stand_regex = re.compile('^Datenstand: (\d\d.\d\d.\d\d\d\d, \d\d:\d\d) Uhr$') m = stand_regex.match(stand) stand_date = datetime.datetime.strptime(m.groups()[0], '%d.%m.%Y, %H:%M') print_stand = stand_date.isoformat() filename_stand = stand_date.strftime("%Y%m%d%H%M%S") archive_folder = site_folder + 'archive/' + filename_stand if os.path.isdir(archive_folder): print('Archive folder {} already exists'.format(archive_folder)) else: os.mkdir(archive_folder) def plot_extrapolation_portion(percentage): print_percentage = int(percentage * 100) archive_plot_filename = '{}/extrapolated_to_{}_percent'.format(archive_folder, print_percentage) latest_plot_filename = '{}/extrapolated_to_{}_percent'.format(site_folder, print_percentage) if os.path.isfile(archive_plot_filename + '.pdf'): print('Plot {} already exists'.format(archive_plot_filename)) return fig, ax = plt.subplots(1) plt.title( 'Tägliche Impfquote, kumulierte Impfungen und lineare Extrapolation bis {:n} % der Bevölkerung Deutschlands\n' 'Erstellung: {}, Datenquelle: RKI, Stand: {}\n' 'Impfungen gesamt: {:n} ({:n} %), Durchschnittliche Impfrate: {:n} Impfungen/Tag'.format( print_percentage, print_today, print_stand, total_vaccinations, np.round(total_vaccinations_percentage * 100, 2), mean_vaccinations_daily_int ) ) ax2 = ax.twinx() ax.bar(dates, daily, label='Tägliche Impfungen', color='blue') ax.plot(dates, mean_vaccinations_daily_up_to_date, color='violet', label='Durchschnittliche Impfquote\nbis zu diesem Tag (inkl.)') ax2.set_ylim([0, einwohner_deutschland * percentage]) ax2.set_xlim(xmax=dates[0] + datetime.timedelta(days=percentage * days_extrapolated)) ax2.grid(True) ax2.plot(dates, cumulative, color='red', label='Kumulierte Impfungen') ax2.plot(extrapolated_dates, extrapolated_vaccinations, color='orange', label='Extrap. kumulierte Impfungen (Ø gesamt)\n{:n} Impfungen/Tag'.format(mean_vaccinations_daily_int)) ax2.plot(extrapolated_dates, extrapolated_vaccinations_last_seven_days, color='goldenrod', label='Extrap. kumulierte Impfungen (Ø 7 Tage)\n{:n} Impfungen/Tag'.format(mean_vaccinations_last_seven_days_int)) #ax2.plot() ax.legend(loc='upper left') ax.get_yaxis().get_major_formatter().set_scientific(False) ax.set_xlabel('Datum') ax.set_ylabel('Tägliche Impfungen') ax2.legend(loc='center right') ax2.get_yaxis().get_major_formatter().set_scientific(False) # Estimated percentage for herd immunity #ax2.axline((0, einwohner_deutschland * 0.7), slope=0, color='green') ax2.set_ylabel('Kumulierte Impfungen') plt.savefig(archive_plot_filename + '.pdf') plt.savefig(archive_plot_filename + '.png') plt.savefig(latest_plot_filename + '.pdf') plt.savefig(latest_plot_filename + '.png') plt.close() print('Created plot {} as pdf and png'.format(archive_plot_filename)) plot_extrapolation_portion(0.1) plot_extrapolation_portion(0.7) plot_extrapolation_portion(1.0) def render_dashboard(): dashboard_filename = 'site/index.xhtml' dashboard_archive_filename = 'site/archive/{}/index.xhtml'.format(filename_stand) stylesheet_filename = 'site/rki-dashboard.css' stylesheet_archive_filename = 'site/archive/{}/rki-dashboard.css'.format(filename_stand) if os.path.isfile(dashboard_archive_filename): print('Dashboard {} already exists'.format(dashboard_archive_filename)) return from jinja2 import Template, Environment, FileSystemLoader, select_autoescape env = Environment( loader=FileSystemLoader('./'), autoescape=select_autoescape(['html', 'xml', 'xhtml']) ) german_text_date_format = '%d. %B %Y' df = german_text_date_format german_text_datetime_format = '%d. %B %Y, %H:%M:%S Uhr' dtf = german_text_datetime_format latest_dashboard_filename = site_folder + 'index.xhtml' archive_dashboard_filename = archive_folder template = env.get_template('dashboard_template.xhtml') template.stream( stand = stand_date.strftime(dtf), filename_stand = filename_stand, einwohner_deutschland = '{:n}'.format(einwohner_deutschland).replace('.', ' '), herd_immunity = '{:n}'.format(int(herd_immunity * 100)), total_vaccinations = '{:n}'.format(total_vaccinations).replace('.', ' '), total_vaccinations_percentage = '{:.3n}'.format(total_vaccinations_percentage * 100), days_since_start = days_since_start, last_date = last_date.strftime(df), last_date_day_rate = '{:n}'.format(last_date_day_rate).replace('.', ' '), mean_vaccinations_daily = '{:n}'.format(mean_vaccinations_daily_int).replace('.', ' '), mean_vaccinations_daily_herd_immunity = mean_vaccinations_daily_herd_immunity.strftime(df), mean_vaccinations_daily_done = mean_vaccinations_daily_done.strftime(df), last_date_day_rate_herd_immunity = last_date_day_rate_herd_immunity.strftime(df), last_date_day_rate_done = last_date_day_rate_done.strftime(df), mean_vaccinations_last_seven_days = '{:n}'.format(mean_vaccinations_last_seven_days_int).replace('.', ' '), mean_vaccinations_last_seven_days_herd_immunity = mean_vaccinations_last_seven_days_herd_immunity.strftime(df), mean_vaccinations_last_seven_days_done = mean_vaccinations_last_seven_days_done.strftime(df) ).dump('site/index.xhtml') shutil.copyfile(dashboard_filename, dashboard_archive_filename) shutil.copyfile(stylesheet_filename, stylesheet_archive_filename) print('Created dashboard') render_dashboard()